Number of new start-ups flounders as inflation bites

Company start-ups decrease 12% year-on-year in Q1 as inflation fallout hits large urban hubs.

The number of company start-ups decreased by 12% year-on-year in the first three months of 2022.

This is part of a national trend seen across 16 counties, according to the latest figures from credit risk analyst CRIFVision-net.

“A 12% decrease in new company start-ups suggests an underlying hesitancy in the domestic and global economies”

The figures suggest that economic tailwinds like supply chain vulnerabilities exposed by the pandemic, combined with cost-of-living inflation, may be impacting individuals wishing to begin their own venture.

Urban hubs such as Dublin, Cork, Galway, and Limerick all recorded declining numbers in company start-ups, but rural counties such as Leitrim, Longford, Laois, and Wexford saw an increase.

Insolvencies

There was a 19% increase in the number of companies dissolved compared to the same period last year (Q1 2022 vs Q1 2021).

Growth was seen in some sectors weakened through Covid-19 public health restrictions, with hotels and restaurants rebounding by 14% and construction by 5% during the period.

A rise of 26% in the number of green start-ups in areas like recycling, solar and wind energy was seen during the period in the utilities sector, fuelled by the drive to meet sustainability targets.

While the return to the workplace post-Covid signalled a 7% increase in the educational sector, with a rise in start-ups related to childcare education and professional services around hybrid working and workplace wellbeing. 

Sectoral analysis

Sectors that saw year-on-year start-up growth include electricity, water and gas supply (26%), hospitality (14%), education (7%), and construction (5%).

Wholesale and retail trade (-43%), manufacturing (-32%), and real estate (-4%) all saw a year-on-year decrease.

The quarterly data suggests the hotels and restaurants (+14%) and construction- (+5%) sectors have rebounded following Government Covid restrictions, while the electricity, gas and water supply sector (+26%) has also made significant gains in Q1. According to the data:

Regional overview

A total of 16 counties in the Republic of Ireland experienced a YoY decline in new company registrations in Q1 2022.

Although Dublin accounted for the largest number of new start-ups nationwide in Q1, recording a total of 2,389 registrations, the number was still a 17% YoY decrease. Cork saw a total of 602 new start-ups (-5%), Galway recorded 206 (-18%), and Limerick recorded 185 (-3%).

Ten counties in the Republic of Ireland experienced a YoY increase in new company registrations. Among these counties, Leitrim (+42%), Longford (+35%), and Laois (+21%) recorded the highest percentage growth. 

“The cost-of-living crisis is hitting the country with increased food, fuel, and electricity bills amid the fallout from the pandemic,” said Christine Cullen, managing director of CRIFVision-net. “The price of energy was rising even before we consider the latest supply chain challenges caused by war in Ukraine.

“We’re seeing much of that uncertainty reflected in the figures for this quarter. A 12% decrease in new company start-ups suggests an underlying hesitancy in the domestic and global economies.

But there appear to be some other factors at play that give reason for cautious optimism.

“What growth in more rural locations may suggest is a shift in terms of the public’s expectations for different lifestyle choices seen through a gradual move away from the traditional big cities. This could be a result of a shift to hybrid working and a hybrid working environment, as well as the housing shortage and high property and rent prices in Ireland’s urban centres.

“Some of the uncertainty is offset by the rebound felt in the hospitality and construction sectors, two of the industries that suffered most due to the pandemic health restrictions. Some might assume that people would not have the disposable income to spend in our bars, hotels and restaurants, but 14% growth in hospitality suggests optimism in the sector and a strong outlook despite all the economic tailwinds.”

John Kennedy
Award-winning ThinkBusiness.ie editor John Kennedy is one of Ireland's most experienced business and technology journalists.

Recommended