Cybersecurity in 2026: Where the next wave of threats will strike

As AI looks set to accelerate the amount of cyberattacks on businesses, Richard Ford from Integrity360 looks at how SMEs can build the right defences.

Cybersecurity in 2026 will be shaped by speed. Threat actors will move faster, using AI offensively to mimic human behaviour and exploit systems in ways traditional defences cannot keep up with. At the same time, defenders are racing to deploy AI in defence, using it to accelerate detection and automate remediation.

Obvious signs of phishing, such as awkward language or far-fetched requests, will become less reliable. In their place, attackers will use sophisticated, AI-augmented social engineering techniques that mimic real interactions, tailored to specific organisations or individuals.

“2026 will not wait. Threats are evolving faster than many organisations are prepared for”

This is already happening. Tools like Black Mamba, a proof-of-concept (PoC) malware, demonstrate how polymorphic malware can dynamically change its structure in real-time to evade detection. AI bots are already scanning for weaknesses, writing exploit code, and identifying high-value targets faster than any human can. As the balance of power shifts, defenders face a new kind of challenge that plays out in real time.

So how can Irish SMEs build the right foundations before the pressure mounts?

Social engineering and identity risk

Social engineering will become harder to detect and even harder to defend against. Deepfake audio and video will blur the lines of trust, especially in high-pressure or time-sensitive situations. Employees may not be able to distinguish a real colleague’s voice from a synthetic one, and that uncertainty creates dangerous openings.

These tactics are now powered by AI. Attackers can analyse a company’s public content, learn internal language patterns, and launch highly convincing impersonation attempts at speed. This shift toward AI-augmented social engineering will put new pressure on frontline defences.

Businesses must rethink how they prepare their teams. Traditional phishing simulations are no longer enough. Instead, training needs to be role-specific and scenario-based, reflecting real-world attacks like simulated voice impersonation or deepfake-led requests. High-risk teams need to rehearse responses to convincing, high-stakes fraud attempts.

Identity-first security will become essential. Workflows for authorising payments or confirming instructions must be locked down and verifiable, particularly for executives. Verified multi-step authorisation must become standard. Involving senior leaders in simulations will help prepare the wider workforce to respond calmly and effectively.

AI-augmented SOC: Shifting roles and automation

Security Operations Centres (SOCs) will look very different in 2026. The traditional three-tier structure will be replaced by leaner teams with targeted skills. As AI automates lower-level tasks, human analysts can focus on high-value threat hunting and decision-making.

AI will suggest responses and surface relevant patterns across large datasets. SOC teams will work alongside AI co-pilots – interactive, context-aware tools that support analysts with everything from anomaly detection to reporting. These co-pilot models are changing the operational landscape, turning analysts into strategic advisors.

This shift brings new challenges. Security teams must trust AI without relying on it blindly. Training will need to focus on validating AI outputs and building critical thinking to prevent deskilling. A new kind of literacy – AI literacy – will become essential to ensure tools enhance, not dilute, human expertise.

The widening attack surface

As cloud adoption grows and organisations expand across hybrid environments, the attack surface increases. Many companies lack visibility over assets, users, and access points, making breaches more likely and harder to contain. The sprawl of Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) adds further risk, as individual configurations and permissions can easily go unmanaged.

According to Gartner, cloud security services are expected to experience the most growth of any other area by 2028, with a projected 25% increase in compound annual growth. This reflects just how urgent and complex the cloud risk landscape has become.

Real-time exposure management will be critical for organisations. This includes monitoring SaaS configurations, and credential use. Static assessments will no longer be enough. Businesses must continuously assess what is exposed and how attractive those assets are to attackers.

Access controls must be contextual, based on device health and behaviour. Frameworks like Zero Trust can help reduce standing privileges and prevent lateral movement. The perimeter is now a moving target; only dynamic, identity-aware models can keep pace.

Regulation, AI risk, and the quantum challenge

Regulatory demands will grow significantly in 2026 – for example, Irish organisations must comply with the AI Act, the NIS2 Directive, and DORA. Furthermore, companies must be able to show that their AI systems are secure and auditable. This means maintaining model inventories and supplier monitoring. Regulators will expect visibility into how AI decisions are made and who is accountable when things go wrong.

Meanwhile, quantum computing is no longer a distant threat. While large-scale attacks may still be years away, sectors like finance must start preparing now. That includes mapping cryptographic exposure and upgrading infrastructure for quantum-safe algorithms. Resilience starts with awareness and builds through action.

Lead now or fall behind

2026 will not wait. Threats are evolving faster than many organisations are prepared for. But the winners will not be those who simply predict what is coming; they will be the ones who act now.

SMEs must modernise defences and prepare for a regulatory landscape that demands more by default. This is about readiness, because those who move early will not only stay protected, but they will also stand out as trusted partners in an uncertain world.

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Richard Ford
Richard was appointed Chief Technology Officer for Integrity360 in 2022, having previously held the role of Technical Director at the company. He brings over 15 years’ experience in the IT sector to the role, the last decade of which have been spent overseeing the growth and development of Integrity360’s technical capabilities.

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